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Assessing and promoting civil and minority rights in South Africa.

[Source: Business Day  by Carol Paton.]

The medium-term budget policy statement, presented a mere two weeks ago, has been thrown into question as a joint team from the Treasury and the Office of the President comb through it, looking for R40bn in expenditure cuts to fund free higher education.

The policy statement is intended to act as guide to the February budget, both to government departments and the market. Its drastic revision indicates a profound loss of influence of the Treasury and will dramatically affect the pending decisions by credit ratings agencies. It also indicates that the prospects of fiscal consolidation and of returning to the pre-October debt stabilisation programme are minimal.

The move has already led to the resignation of the head of the budget office, Michael Sachs, last week, with more Treasury officials expected to follow.

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South Africa at a Glance
57 700 000 (mid 2018 estimate)
4.9% y/y in September 2018 (CPI) & +6.2 y/y in September 2018 (PPI)
-0.7% q/q (2nd quarter of 2018)
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